A reminder that the hyped math of AI productivity doesn't add up

Colton Voege writes No, AI is not Making Engineers 10x as Productive.

I would extend this conclusion to any profession or craft:

There is no secret herbal medicine that prevents all disease sitting out in the open if you just follow the right Facebook groups. There is no AI coding revolution available if you just start vibing. You are not missing anything. Trust yourself. You are enough.

Oh, and don’t scroll LinkedIn. Or Twitter. Ever.

Also, the math doesn’t compute:

I think sometimes people lose the scale of just how big a 10x improvement is. 10x is the difference between your mini-van and a record setting supersonic land jet. Imagine trying to drive your 10 minute commute down your city streets in a car that goes 600mph. Will you get to the other side of town in one tenth the time? No, because even a single 60 second stoplight will eat up your entire time budget. F1 cars slow down to mini-van speeds in basic turns. It turns out that most of any activity is not spent going at top speed.

(via Tao of Mac)